I was reflecting on 2008 and how few people saw it coming, albeit parts of Wall Street made bank on the collapse. And I thought about now, and how few people see it coming this time including Wall Street. On the surface, this rally is "stronger" because the major indices keep making new highs. However, under the surface, the exact same carnage is occurring as it did in 2008. Central Banks have made risk management impossible for active money managers - this time, shorting is not an option...
% of S&P above 200 day moving average:
Here are some bellwether stocks across all major sectors:
Qualcomm: Semiconductors
Brinker Restaurants
(Chili's, Maggianno's etc...)
Avis rental car
Target: Retail
Bristol Myers: Pharma
Biogen: Biotech
Invesco: Financial Asset Management
Macy's: Retail
Whirlpool: Home appliances
Late cycle stocks in blow-off mode i.e. the stocks holding up the major indices...
Norfolk Southern: Railways
BancFirst
Micron: Semiconductors
Westmoreland Coal