The exact same "metric" that got Obama elected in 2008, now portends badly for the incumbent party:
The equity call/put ratio indicates that Social Mood is turning down...
Gambler risk appetite is waning...Ameritrade daily average client trades -7.2% year over year:
Jobless consumer sentiment is turning down hard:
Firearms background checks (12 month moving averaged, red) with Smith & Wesson:
Congress and the Fed withdraw stimulus at the end of each cycle...
"Because, it's called Democracy"
Recessions are the vertical gray lines:
This year the Dow votes early...
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» Social Mood Will Decide This Election (And Vice Versa)