My Prediction for Posterity

I have been saying that HRC will win by 5% and get 300 Electoral Votes.  Here's my math on the latter:


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Even if HRC loses Florida and NC, she would still have enough to win.  I trust her Get Out the Vote game, her data analyses, her organization, and Trump's complete absence of all of that.  Plus HRC has strong surrogates, Trump has his hate going for him.

I think HRC's secret weapon are disabled voters and their families--that they are not addressed in polls, but they are a very large group (60 million!), one with which HRC has both a positive record over time and positive policies, and Trump's stunning lack of empathy.  I also think the polls undercount Latinos and younger voters.

Anyhow, folks will  have other priorities if Trump wins, but this is out there so that you can criticize me if I am wrong.  But I will not be.