(en) anarkismo.ne: projection analysis about the US approach
to Cuba by Brunol (ca) [machine translation]
The rapprochement between the US and Cuba, with the resumption of diplomatic relations
between the two countries, is completing a stage of the geopolitics of Latin America,
dating back to the Cold War. The victory of the Cuban Revolution in our continent opened a
window of opportunities for change, resulting in a revolutionary whirlwind three decades.
Latin American insurgent forces still have, as the ELN and the Colombian FARC and the EZLN
and EPR in Mexico, but such action is very distant from that was to surrender and
armistice of the Central American guerrillas in the middle of the 1990s . Observe the
Cuban-American relations today, also involves making the projection of the times ahead.
The concern in this rapprochement is the Cuban economic opening, as the possibility of
abandonment of a mass of workers who live even modestly, you are assured of social
benefits and a degree of certainty about the future.
One of the major factors on the side of the Cuban government for the resumption was to
perceive the real risk situation, who lives in Venezuela the Chavez project. Since the
first electoral victory of Hugo Chavez in late 1998, Cuba has been making a system where
attendance changes in human resources, obtained a good counterpart in Venezuela oil and
loans through the Bank for Economic and Social Development of Venezuela (BANDES,
equivalent to Brazil's BNDES).
With the political crisis worked for the Venezuelan opposition and deepened after the
death of Chavez, Havana became entangled and, in turn, analyzes the conditions to
negotiate its privileged position, both with China and with the United States.
And the superpower during the second government Obama, opted to bow to Latin America, as
privileged area in relationships, under which he described as the second cold war. China,
after the defeated ideologically promoted rapprochement between Mao Zedong and Richard
Nixon in 1972 still today presented as challenging its economic presence, generating in
the countries of the region its huge investment capacity.
The Nicaragua Canal opened, passage comes the rival the Panama Canal, aggravated by the
possible presence of the Russian navy, as a protective squadron of the inter-oceanic
route, previously alerted the Pentagon strategists, the importance of resumption with
Havana. The future port of Mariel as a fundamental part of this new route between the two
oceans is an aggravating * visible - for America - Chinese participation in the
development and opening * capitalist Cuba, with the smaller partner but highlighted ,
Brazil itself.
In front of the increasingly obvious Chinese presence, Barack Obama's second
administration, reinforced the brand of his administration after the defeat in the
elections medium term. As this is his second and final term as head of the superpower, the
former Democratic senator from the state of Illinois I had resolved to confront its
enemies, particularly the political drivers of the Cuban-American community. Sad
notoriety, political groups in Florida provide a captive vote for the Republican Party,
leaning to the right d half of this match and quite conservative.
Then, defeat the worms leaders (how they are pejoratively called) would be an important
point for the next Democratic campaign in direction of Casa Branca. At the same time, it
would be to stop projection for China to Latin America and the Caribbean, which is
increasingly evident. Thus, the Obama administration is advancing within the limits of the
law allows the resumption of these relations can not only suspend the economic embargo,
given that this law depends on the US Congress where the Republican right has power of veto.
Judging by reopening embassies, marked by the official diplomatic representatives of the
US reopened on July 20, 2015 in Havana and vice versa and bipartisanship behavior
favorable to the movement of Barack Hussein Obama, it is possible that the economic
blockade I can disappear. A symptom of this is the end of the travel ban for US citizens
to travel without special visa requirement (in a special category with various
specifications), at least in the Committee observes that the issue (and has Republican
majority) . Obama is really convinced of the need to suspend the blockade, to try to
attract former adversaries, to a deeper relationship, also opening a wedge with the
rightmost hegemony of the Cuban-American community.
The concern in this rapprochement is the Cuban economic opening, as the possibility of
abandonment of a mass of workers who live even modestly, you are assured of social
benefits and a degree of certainty as to the immediate future, from the excellence of some
Cuban public services. Definitely not want Cuban citizenship, return to its pre-1959
status and can say with a high degree of certainty (through distinguished sources, being
both natural and passengers with various political hues), may opt for democratization
socialism, and not a preview of the forms of capitalism in the country, and this Chinese
or American workforce.
http://anarkismo.net/article/28391
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