Record Warm Winter Aloft

Now that winter is complete according to my preferred calendar month definition (November-March), here are a few of the many records that were broken in the observations made by the twice-a-day balloon soundings at Fairbanks.

- Highest mean Nov-Mar 1000-500 mb thickness (5233 m vs 5218 m in 1980-1981).  Thickness is an excellent measure of integrated heat content, which means that the lower half of the atmosphere above Fairbanks indisputably saw its warmest winter on record (since 1948).


- Highest mean Nov-Mar temperature at 850 mb, 700 mb, and 500 mb.  At the surface it was the 6th warmest winter on record.

- Highest mean Nov-Mar 500 mb height (pressure aloft).  Last winter (2013-2014) now stands in second place.  Interestingly 2011-2012 saw the lowest mean 500 mb height on record.

It's interesting to note that more than 31% of soundings reported above-freezing temperatures somewhere in the column from November through March.  This is more than twice the 1981-2010 normal of 14.8%, and is very close to the 1980-1981 record.  It's remarkable to consider that above-freezing air can persist in the atmosphere above Fairbanks for almost one-third of the winter.

Here's a time-height cross-section of the lower tropospheric temperature anomalies.