How long do you give Abu Bluff?

I think we should make a betting pool on how long 'moderate' 'Palestinian' President Mahmoud Abbas Abu Mazen will last, especially in light of recent events in Tunisia, Algeria, Egypt and Yemen (sorry, but I can't go in depth on that many countries at once). The 'Western backed' Abu Mazen believes that he will not be swept up in the same 'democracy wave' that is sweeping up his authoritarian